Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 1.834700 2.107721 2.410984 2.773430 3.195638 3.672900 4.254645
2025-04-20 1.461096 1.836074 2.294795 2.900135 3.682255 4.664467 6.000488
2025-04-27 1.215423 1.620801 2.149642 2.895798 3.930631 5.328507 7.382443
2025-05-04 1.079627 1.511107 2.104426 2.989180 4.291000 6.161028 9.095640
2025-05-11 0.954320 1.391219 2.019305 3.001091 4.520925 6.823453 10.650812
2025-05-18 0.854749 1.291553 1.944671 3.009327 4.734200 7.476026 12.278959
2025-05-25 0.752370 1.172937 1.823757 2.924553 4.781310 7.861931 13.518597
2025-06-01 0.693811 1.114457 1.787207 2.966349 5.034572 8.612592 15.494178
2025-06-08 0.649047 1.072207 1.770298 3.035796 5.339649 9.488107 17.831406
2025-06-15 0.599476 1.015869 1.722475 3.043548 5.532357 10.182985 19.933845
2025-06-22 0.544428 0.943967 1.639462 2.976622 5.575491 10.599183 21.543824
2025-06-29 0.500414 0.886856 1.576159 2.937523 5.664314 11.111571 23.431648
2025-07-06 0.447280 0.812600 1.482535 2.846871 5.675607 11.544887 25.408528
2025-07-13 0.425515 0.795176 1.494832 2.970703 6.154895 13.058578 30.213871
2025-07-20 0.391705 0.750304 1.448115 2.966520 6.360242 14.012755 33.916706
2025-07-27 0.372268 0.731113 1.449327 3.062367 6.800417 15.577174 39.512350
2025-08-03 0.346768 0.696556 1.414685 3.074595 7.050486 16.738915 44.343647
2025-08-10 0.323670 0.664265 1.380715 3.083049 7.292451 17.925590 49.544452
2025-08-17 0.295207 0.617420 1.309902 2.996026 7.285258 18.474579 53.052817
2025-08-24 0.279649 0.596882 1.294588 3.038930 7.614919 19.978865 59.835282
2025-08-31 0.267431 0.582385 1.291110 3.110222 8.031413 21.805441 68.145050
2025-09-07 0.251980 0.558871 1.264034 3.118180 8.278222 23.199885 75.437478
2025-09-14 0.233153 0.525597 1.210189 3.049476 8.299936 23.936417 80.687139